DEB(tox) models - Can we predict under different environmental conditions?

Conference paperPoster
Benoit Goussen, Cecilie Rendal, Emma Butler, Roman Ashauer, Oliver R. Price
SETAC Brussels 2017. Brussels, Belgium
Publication year: 2017

Abstract:

The lack of ecological realism in current prospective environmental risk assessment is widely recognised as a limitation in this field. As organisms are living in a multistressed environment, involving both chemical and environmental stressors, it is worth understanding how these combined stressors will affect the organisms and subsequently the populations. A way forward to include more ecological relevance in ERAs is the use of environmental scenarios that will represent key differences in environmental factors such as the food availability, the temperature variability, the predation, etc. and in exposure factors.

All these factors will influence the capability of an organism to grow and reproduce as well as its resilience to additional stressors. As growth and reproduction are driven by an organisms’ energy balance, Dynamic Energy Budget models are particularly well suited to integrate toxicant and environmental stressors. Indeed, the DEB theory analyses the fluxes of energy within an organism, how stressors can impact these fluxes, and how this will affect the organism’s life history traits.

In this project, we assessed how DEB modelling can predict effects of various chemicals in variable environmental conditions. To do so, we produced two set of data for each chemical. In the first one, Ceriodaphnia dubia individuals fed ad-libitum and were maintained at reference temperature (25°C). In the second set of data, C. dubia individuals were maintained at a different temperature and feeding regime. For the purpose of this exercise, this second set of data was not disclosed to the team in charge of the DEB modelling.

We used the first set of data only to calibrate the DEB model for C. dubia. Then knowing only the experimental conditions of the second set, we performed a blinded prediction of the growth, reproduction, and survival of C. dubia under environmental conditions that have not been used for the calibration. Blinded predictions and datasets were then compared and the ability of the DEB model to handle and accurately predict non-tested environmental conditions (temperature and feeding level) was analysed and discussed.

 

Combined environmental and chemical stress: impact on bioenergetic fluxes

Conference paperPlatform
Benoit Goussen, Emma Butler, Antonio Franco, Stuart Marshall, Oliver R. Price, Cecilie Rendal, Roman Ashauer
SETAC Brussels 2017. Brussels, Belgium
Publication year: 2017

Abstract:

The lack of ecological realism in current prospective environmental risk assessment (ERA) is widely recognised as a limitation in this field. Since organisms live in a multistressed environment, involving both chemical and environmental stressors, it is important to understand how these combined stressors can affect individuals and subsequently their populations. One way of including more ecological relevance in ERAs is the use of environmental scenarios that represent variation in environmental factors such as food, temperature, predation, competition and in factors that influence exposure.

All these factors will influence the capability of an organism to grow and reproduce as well as its resilience to additional stressors. Since growth and reproduction are driven by an organisms’ energy balance, Dynamic Energy Budget models are particularly well suited to integrate toxicant and environmental stressors. Indeed, the DEB theory analyses the fluxes of energy within an individual, how stressors can impact these fluxes, and how this will affect the organism’s life history traits. This mechanistic description of an individual can then be used as a building block for a population model.

In this project, we performed a meta-analysis of the literature in order to analyse the effects of combinations of ecological and chemical stressors on individuals. We then used this analysis to derive quantitative relationships that describe the effects on their bioenergetic fluxes. We analysed how these stressor combinations affected the life-history traits of the organisms and their ability to cope.

We assessed the implementation of these patterns using a DEB based model for Ceriodaphnia dubia. Using the derived quantitative relationships, we predicted the effects of mixtures of environmental and/or chemical stressors on the growth, the reproduction and the survival of individuals. This mechanistic description of the organisms can then be used as a building block in order to assess the effects of these mixtures on a higher level of organisation, through a population model for instance. The accuracy of our predictions was evaluated by comparison with experimental data.

The resulting models will have the potential to account for the effect of chemicals on individuals and populations in different environmental scenarios

Optimizing experimental design for calibration of GUTS model

Conference paperPlatform
Sandrine Charles, Carlo Albert, Benoit Goussen, Tjalling Jager, Soeren Vogel, Roman Ashauer
SETAC Nantes 2016. Nantes, France
Publication year: 2016

Presenting author: Sandrine Charles

Abstract:

The General Unified Threshold model of Survival (GUTS) provides a theoretical framework for analysing stressor effects on survival over time through consistent model equations based on different assumptions about the stressor quantification, the compensatory processes and the nature of the death process. In ecotoxicology, stressors are toxicants characterised by a dose metric, e.g. the concentration in the medium surrounding an organism or inside the organism, or by the damage quantity they cause. The key GUTS feature is that mortality is estimated when the dose metric exceeds a certain threshold. Several GUTS flavours can be derived according to the assumption underlying the death process: (i) the threshold is distributed within a population, and when exceeded, the individual dies (individual tolerance, IT); (ii) there is one common threshold for all individuals, and when exceeded, the probability to die increases (stochastic death, SD); (iii) a unification of both previous assumptions (GUTS proper). While more realistic, GUTS proper requires the estimation of one additional parameter. Because environmental risk assessment of chemicals depends on robust estimates of GUTS parameters, we investigated parameter identification for GUTS proper, in relation to the experimental design of ‘short-term’ laboratory bioassays. In practice, standard survival datasets generally do not contain enough information to estimate all parameters of GUTS proper with sufficient precision. This is because a large number of individuals is required to provide strong information on probabilistic events. Hence, based on simulated datasets we identify appropriate experimental designs suitable to estimate all parameters of GUTS proper with the best possible precision. We show that datasets with a high number of animals per treatment allow for parameter estimation of GUTS proper with reasonable accuracy and precision. Moreover, increasing the number of animals or the duration of the experiment substantially reduce the uncertainty around the median value of the threshold. Nevertheless, general statements about optimisation for any chemical, any species, any test duration and/or any exposure concentration profile remain difficult. As take-home message, to the extent possible, we recommend not to use fixed experimental set-up for GUTS analyses, but rather tailor dedicated designs according to the chemical, the species and/or the research/regulatory question at hand.

How to map ecological risk assessments of chemicals

Conference paperPlatform
Benoit Goussen, Cécilie Rendal, Antonio Franco, Oliver R. Price, Roman Ashauer
SETAC Nantes 2016. Nantes, France.
Publication year: 2016

Presenting author: Benoit Goussen

Abstract:

The lack of ecological realism is widely recognised as a limitation in current prospective chemical risk assessment, as is the failure of making variability explicit and transparent. The integration of ecological scenarios with chemical effect models to achieve quantitative ERA promises to increase ecological relevance. Probabilistic environmental risk assessment (PERA) has been suggested as a way to account for spatial, temporal, and environmental variability. Probabilistic plots area new way of presenting ecotoxicological data whilst accounting also for ecologically relevant parameters. They provide an indication of the maximum population-relevant impact of an effect of interest (e.g. biomass reduction) and the prevalence of this impact. Essentially they answer two related questions: How strong is the effect? In how many locations will we see the effect? We discuss some of the challenges and opportunities involved in bringing these new concepts into everyday risk assessment for down-the-drain chemicals. One of the key questions revolves around understanding the protection goal for anthropogenic stressors in specific ecological scenarios, and indeed whether certain scenarios require specific modified protection goals. Once the specific protection goal has been established, a metric to suit both the specific ecological scenario and protection goal needs to be defined and agreed. The selection of this endpoint must be carefully considered as different options will lead to different interpretation. We present a framework to integrate probabilistic approaches with mechanistic effect models to assess variable chemical and environmental scenarios. We present a hypothetical case study risk assessment for an ingredient used universally in all laundry products across Europe and illustrate the potential benefits of the framework. To do so, we use an individual based model integrating a dynamic energy budget model to assess the potential impact of chemicals associated with local environmental characteristics. We then map the outcomes based on probabilistic plots and on potential policy makers’ decisions of the maximal ecologically acceptable impact and the maximal prevalence of this impact. This new framework has the potential to better present ecologically relevant risk by using integrated biological endpoints and to aid more transparent risk communication.

A DEB analysis of responses to baseline toxicant in C. dubia and D. magna

Conference paperPoster
Benoit Goussen, Cecilie Rendal, Emma Butler, Jayne Roberts, Oliver R. Price, Antonio Franco, Todd Gouin, Geoff Hodges, Tjalling Jager
SETAC Nantes 2016. Nantes, France.
Publication year: 2016

Presenting author: Benoit Goussen

Abstract:

Mechanistic effects models are gaining interest in the scientific community and in regulatory settings. These models have the potential to facilitate species extrapolation, thereby decreasing the need for toxicity testing for risk assessment. They also provide an opportunity to quantify the complexities of multiple interacting stressors on environmental scenarios. Dynamic energy budget (DEB) theory represents a unifying framework for assessing the mechanisms that drive toxicant effects on life history traits. We report here on the progress of two case studies for an example chemical tested on two species of Cladocerans, Ceriodaphnia dubia and Daphnia magna. Over 70% of the ingredients in home and personal care products are considered baseline toxicants. We use phenol as a model baseline toxicant. A dynamic energy budget model was calibrated for each species, and differences in parameters and physiological mode of action are discussed. This work also explores how DEB based modelling can incorporate environmental factors such as food availability and temperature into risk assessment. In conclusion, the present study demonstrates the potential utility of DEB based models for species extrapolation and chemical risk assessment in an AOP framework.

Towards ecological relevance in PERA: a DEB-IBM approach

Conference paperPoster
Benoit Goussen, Cécilie Rendal, Antonio Franco, Oliver R. Price, Roman Ashauer
Salt Lake City 2015. Salt Lake City, UT, USA
Publication year: 2015

Presenting author: Oliver R. Price

Abstract:

Ecological relevance is increasingly recognised as an important challenge for environmental risk assessment (ERA). The integration of ecological scenarios with chemical effect models to achieve quantitative ERA promises to increase ecological relevance of ERA. We discuss some of the challenges and opportunities involved in bringing these new concepts into everyday risk assessment for down-the-drain chemicals. One of the key questions revolves around understanding the protection goal for anthropogenic stressors in specific ecological scenarios, and
indeed whether certain scenarios require specific modified protection goals. Once the specific protection goal has been established, a metric to suit both the specific ecological scenario and protection goal needs to be defined and agreed. The selection of this endpoint must be carefully considered as different options will lead to different interpretation. Population-level models linked with mechanistically based bioenergetics models are potential powerful tools for ecologically relevant ERA because they provide a quantitative link between chemical effects and ecological factors. However, the practical use and communication of ecological model predictions for decision making may not always be straight forward. Probabilistic environmental risk assessment (PERA) has been suggested as a way to make uncertainty more explicit and to account for biological, spatial and temporal variability. The outcome of a PERA is typically a measure of expected risk with an associated uncertainty interval. We present how probabilistic approaches and advancements in population modeling can be linked to incorporate more ecological relevance into risk assessments while keeping both uncertainty and variability explicit and transparent. To do so, we use an individual based model integrating a dynamic energy budget model to assess the potential impact of chemicals associated with local environmental characteristics. This mechanistic model must be applicable to multiple types of stress,
both anthropogenic (e.g., chemicals, wastewater plant effluents) and environmental (e.g., temperature, predation, starvation, competition). We also discuss how the magnitude of an adverse event will impact the level of risk we are willing to accept and argue that the relation between the level of acceptable risk and the severity of the effect should be made explicit to facilitate decision-making.

Can mechanistic effects models coupled with geo-referenced exposure models add ecological relevance to risk assessment?

Conference paperPoster
Cecilie Rendal, Benoit Goussen, Oliver R. Price, Jayne Roberts, Emma Butler, Roman Ashauer
SETAC Barcelona 2015. Barcelona, Spain.
Publication year: 2015
 Presenting authors: Cecilie Rendal & Benoit Goussen
Abstract:
Population-level models are increasingly recognised as potentially powerful tools in environmental risk assessment. However, the practical application of dynamic population predictions for decision making is not straight forward in everyday risk assessment of down-the-drain chemicals. Probabilistic environmental risk assessment (PERA) has been suggested as a way to make uncertainty more explicit and to account for spatial and temporal variability. The outcome of a PERA is typically a measure of expected risk with an associated uncertainty interval. We present a conceptual framework that explores how probabilistic approaches can be applied in population models to incorporate more ecological relevance into risk assessments while keeping both uncertainty and variability explicit and transparent. One of the key challenges is understanding the protection goals for ecological scenarios exposed to anthropogenic stressors. For instance, systems that are already impaired by high volume emissions of untreated wastewater may require modified protection goals (e.g. protection of microbial purification processes and recovery of food web structure and diversity). For higher organisms, the protection goals must be reflected by a defined set of endpoint metrics that can quantify changes in population-level dynamics. These metrics must be carefully selected based on both the specific scenario and protection goal, as different options will lead to very different interpretations of effect. Finally we discuss the importance of making the relation between the willingness to accept risk and the severity of the effect explicit to facilitate decision-making. We consider these discussions a necessary first step in bringing the full potential of population-level models into risk assessment of down-the-drain chemicals.

Effects of chronic gamma irradiation: A multigenerational study using Caenorhabditis elegans

Conference paperPlatform
Adeline Buisset-Goussen, Benoit Goussen, Claire Della-Vedova, Simon Galas, Christelle Adam-Guillermin, Catherine Lecomte-Pradines
SETAC Basel 2014. Basel, Switzerland.
Publication year: 2014

Presenting author: Adeline Buisset-Goussen

Abstract:

The assessment of environmental impact of exposure to ionizing radiation (natural and ubiquitous phenomenon enriched by human activities) has become a major concern. However, this environmental risk assessment is currently hampered by the lack of knowledge, and hence, is often based on extrapolation from data obtained for acute exposure. Studies on chronic exposure over several generations are so needed to understand the disturbances related to ionizing radiation and their possible consequences on the population. Regarding this background, we assessed the effects of chronic exposure to ionizing radiation over three generations of the ubiquitous nematode Caenorhabditis elegans. In this study C. elegans were chronically and individually exposed to gamma radiation (dose rates ranging from 6.6 to 42.7 mGy/h). The evolution of growth and reproduction (here, cumulated number of larvae per individual) of individuals were followed daily. Comparisons within and between the generations of C. elegans subjected to different exposure statuses: (i) three generations continuously exposed (F0, F1, and F2) and (ii) parental generation exposed (F0) and the following generations placed in recovery (F1’ and F2’) were performed. Our experiment showed no significant difference in growth between the control and the exposed individuals whatever the generation and the exposed status. However we observed a decrease in the reproductive ability between F0 and F2 at the highest dose rate (42.7 mGy/h). We also observed significant differences in the same generation subjected to different exposure statuses (exposed (F1) or recovery (F1’)). Surprisingly, the non-exposed generation (F1’) laid out less number of eggs than the exposed generation (F1). Our results confirmed that reproduction is the most sensitive endpoint affected by ionizing radiation and revealed transgenerational effects from parental exposure in the second generation (F1’) and the third generation (F2). Using these results on reproduction, molecular and cellular effects of chronic exposure to ionizing radiations on germline are examined to better understand the mechanisms underlying the observed effects

Un modèle mathématique pour mieux comprendre l’impact des polluants sur la dynamique évolutive des populations

Conference paperPlatform
Benoit Goussen, Rémy Beaudouin, Victor Dias, Jean-Marc Bonzom, Alexandre R.R. Péry
Association pour la Recherche en Toxicologie (ARET). Paris, France.
Publication year: 2013

Presenting author: Benoit Goussen

Abstract (French):

L’évaluation des effets des polluants à des échelles biologiquement et écologiquement pertinentes est un important problème dans la protection des écosystèmes. En effet, les conséquences à long terme de polluants sur les populations sont très peu étudiées alors que les populations naturelles sont souvent exposées à des polluants de façon chronique sur de nombreuses générations. Dans ce contexte, nous avons élaboré un nouveau modèle de type individu-centré couplé avec un modèle bioénergétique de type Dynamic Energy Budget (DEB) afin d’étudier la dynamique évolutive de populations soumises à des contraintes environnementales. Il s’agit d’une base pertinente pour comprendre et modéliser les liens entre (i) les perturbations liées à l’assimilation et (ii) les fluctuations de croissance et de reproduction chez des individus exposés à des stress anthropiques (e.g. polluant, changements globaux). Ce modèle permet une meilleure évaluation des conséquences potentielles sur les populations sur plusieurs générations.

Afin d’illustrer la pertinence de ce type de modélisation, nous présenterons les résultats obtenus suite à des travaux concernant les effets multi-générationnels d’un métal lourd radioactif, l’uranium, sur deux modèles d’invertébrés (Chironomus riparius et Caenorhabditis elegans).

Par exemple, les résultats obtenus chez C. riparius nous ont permis de modéliser la dynamique des populations au cours des générations et de caractériser les effets de l’uranium sur les populations exposées. Ces résultats montrent que (i) l’uranium conduit à une sélection de phénotypes particuliers via une survie différentielle et (ii) entraîne une augmentation de la tolérance des populations exposées au fil des générations.

En conclusion, l’application de ce type de modèle nous a permis de quantifier et de mieux comprendre les effets d’un stress sur la dynamique d’une population à partir des règles de comportement et de structuration de ses différents éléments (i.e. les individus, avec leurs propres caractéristiques biologiques et toxicologiques).

Evaluating effects of a multi-generation pollution on Caenorhabditis elegans’ population

Conference paperPlatform
Benoit Goussen, Rémy Beaudouin, Florient Parisot, Morgan Dutilleul, Adeline Buisset-Goussen, Jean-Marc Bonzom, Alexandre R.R. Péry
SETAC Glasgow. Glasgow, UK.
Publication year: 2013

Presenting author: Benoit Goussen

Suivi multigénérationnel d’une toxicité chronique : le cas de la reproduction chez Caenorhabditis elegans

Conference paperPoster
Florian Parisot, Jean-Marc Bonzom, Benoit Goussen
Société d’écotoxicologie fondamentale et appliquée (SEFA). Lyon, France.
Publication year: 2012

Presenting author: Florian Parisot

Evolutionary changes in life history traits in a Caenorhabditis elegans population exposed to pollutants

Conference paperPlatform
Morgan Dutilleul, Jean-Marc Bonzom, Benoit Goussen, Simon Galas, Denis Réale
Evolution 2012. Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
Publication year: 2012

Presenting author: Morgan Dutilleul

Évaluation des effets de la pollution sur la dynamique de population de Caenorhabditis elegans à travers une approche de type bioénergétique

Conference paperPlatform
Benoit Goussen, Florian Parisot, Alexandre R.R. Péry, Rémy Beaudouin, Adeline Buisset, Morgan Dutilleul, Catherine Lecomte, Jean-Marc Bonzom
Société d’écotoxicologie fondamentale et appliquée (SEFA). Lyon, France.
Publication year: 2012

Presenting author: Benoit Goussen

Evaluating effects of pollution on Caenorhabditis elegans’ population dynamic through a bio-energetic approach

Conference paperPoster
Benoit Goussen, Florian Parisot, Alexandre R.R. Péry, Rémy Beaudouin, Adeline Buisset, Morgan Dutilleul, Catherine Lecomte, Jean-Marc Bonzom
SETAC Berlin 2012. Berlin, Germany
Publication year: 2012

Presenting author: Benoit Goussen

Poster spotlight

S’adapter, mais à quel coût ? Une étude expérimentale chez C. elegans

Conference paperPlatform
Morgan Dutilleul, Denis Réale, Catherine Lecomte, Benoit Goussen, Simon Galas, Jean-Marc Bonzom
33ème Réunion annuelle du Groupe d’Etude de Biologie et Génétique des Populations. Toulouse, France.
Publication year: 2011

Presenting author: Morgan Dutilleul

Intégration d’un modèle bioénergétique dans un modèle de dynamique adaptative: une population de Caenorhabditis elegans soumise à divers stress anthropiques

Conference paperPoster
Benoit Goussen, Alexandre R.R. Péry, Rémy Beaudouin, Morgan Dutilleul, Catherine Lecomte, Jean-Marc Bonzom
33ème Réunion annuelle du Groupe d’Etude de Biologie et Génétique des Populations. Toulouse, France.
Publication year: 2011

Presenting author: Benoit Goussen

Integrating the Dynamic Energy Budget theory in an adaptive dynamic model for a better evaluation of the ecological risks

Conference paperPoster
Benoit Goussen, Alexandre R.R. Péry, Rémy Beaudouin, Morgan Dutilleul, Catherine Lecomte, Jean-Marc Bonzom
Models in Evolutionary Ecology. Montpellier, France
Publication year: 2011

Presenting author: Benoit Goussen

Integrating the DEB theory in an adaptive dynamic model for a better evaluation of the ecological risks: using of C. elegans as a model organism

Conference paperPoster
Benoit Goussen, Alexandre R.R. Péry, Rémy Beaudouin, Morgan Dutilleul, Catherine Lecomte, Jean-Marc Bonzom
DEB Symposium 2011. Lisboa, Portugal.
Publication year: 2011

Presenting author: Benoit Goussen

Analysis of multi-generation data for Chironomus riparius exposed to uranium-spiked sediments using a DEB-based population dynamics model

Conference paperPlatform
Rémy Beaudouin, Victor Dias, Benoit Goussen, Alexandre R.R. Péry, Jean-Marc Bonzom
DEB Symposium 2011. Lisboa, Portugal.
Publication year: 2011

Presenting author: Benoit Goussen